The final session of the London week has brought a ''revenge'' trade for
investors and traders holding long Euro positions. Following the fresh
all-time high posted yesterday, the currency was crushed versus the US
dollar and British Pound. Today, we saw a broad-based reversal in these
currency pairs as profit-taking swept through the market. The reason why
traders reduced the risk on their books is simple. At 1400 EDT, the
finance ministers and central bank heads of the G7 nations (US, UK,
Canada, Japan, Germany, France and Italy) will convene in a regular
quarterly meeting that will overlap with the spring meetings of the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank over the weekend.
From the start of European trading, the Greenback was sold with
aggression across the board. EURUSD rifled higher at a blistering pace
through 1.5800, recouping over half of the losses experienced over the
prior 24 hours. The pair remains firm, but has slipped off the 1.5850
session high. Expectedly, USDJPY and USDCHF have traded markedly
lower. The former plunged to support around 101.50 before bouncing
higher with EURJPY. The latter cracked 1.0060 and dove to levels near
parity, but has since stabilized. Lastly, USDCAD also found its way to
the downside after trading with a very resilient tone, perhaps withering
due to the robust price of crude futures.
Going into the G7 meeting, FX markets are not expecting major changes
to the currency section of the official communique. But it would not be
a normal G7 meeting if there were not speculation of shifts affecting
currencies. As to the timing of the release of the communique itself,
based on past experience, a draft version of the final communique is likely
to be in circulation before the G7 talks actually convene, perhaps as early
as the NY opening or sooner. Such drafts have frequently proven to be
the final version.
Ind Adds
ind adds
Friday, March 14, 2008
Today's Market Update
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